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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.6 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Waddle to total 6.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 72.2% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a significant boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 68.2% figure.
  • The Los Angeles Rams linebackers rank as the worst LB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 57.2% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are forecasted by the model to call just 63.3 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in football (a mere 31.0 per game) this year.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 16.0% Target% this season shows a substantial decline in his passing offense workload over last season's 23.3% figure.
  • Jaylen Waddle has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (40.0 per game) than he did last year (77.0 per game).

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