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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-160/+130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Waddle to total 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been among the top WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 63.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been among the most effective receivers in football, averaging an excellent 9.75 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 75th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 9.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a a remarkable progression in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 6.7% mark.
  • The Panthers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.90 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 82.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has produced significantly fewer this year, now boasting 58.0 per game.

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