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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Jaylen Waddle to total 9.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 23.6% this year, which puts him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle has accrued a colossal 78.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Jaylen Waddle grades out as one of the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a terrific 73.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 68.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents an impressive progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.0% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.
  • The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 23-mph being projected in this game) generally mean worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased run volume.

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