Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jaylen Waddle

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.
The Commanders defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (38.1 per game) this year.
This week, Jaylen Waddle is forecasted by our trusted projection set to rank in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 7.7 targets.
Jaylen Waddle has been heavily involved in his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 22.9% this year, which ranks in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
Jaylen Waddle has accumulated a colossal 78.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Favors Under

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game.
The model projects the Dolphins to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Dolphins this year (a lowly 54.8 per game on average).

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