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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to be the 6th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.4% pass rate.
  • In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 85th percentile among WRs with 7.5 targets.
  • With a high 22.3% Target Rate (83rd percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle stands among the wide receivers with the most usage in football.
  • Jaylen Waddle comes in as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 69.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.
  • Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 65.0% to 68.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive 14-point favorite in this game.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 53.3 per game on average).
  • Jaylen Waddle has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (77.0 per game) than he did last season (82.0 per game).
  • Jaylen Waddle's 9.4 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 10.5 figure.

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