Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jaylen Waddle

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Waddle

WR · Miami Dolphins

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 67.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Waddle to accumulate 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.
Jaylen Waddle has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 21.9% this year, which places him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
Jaylen Waddle has notched quite a few more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).
Jaylen Waddle has posted a lot more receiving yards per game (81.0) this season than he did last season (64.0).
Jaylen Waddle's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 11.06 yards-per-target vs just 7.44 mark last year.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 56.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 5th-least in the league.

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