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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+168/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +171 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Waddle to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the goal line this week (21.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.4% in games he has played).

Jaylen Waddle has accrued quite a few more air yards this year (86.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).

Jaylen Waddle's 53.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 83rd percentile for wideouts.

Jaylen Waddle grades out in the 92nd percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

Jaylen Waddle's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 73.9% to 63.9%.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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