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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+185/-245).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 86th percentile among WRs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has been responsible for a monstrous 23.0% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 77th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 52.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 83rd percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dolphins to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 58.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.3%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.3%).
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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