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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Jaylen Waddle has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (91.0 per game) than he did last season (60.0 per game).

Jaylen Waddle's 52.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the NFL: 80th percentile for wide receivers.

Jaylen Waddle ranks in the 92nd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.50 per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has yielded the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (68.3%) versus WRs this year (68.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

The Miami Dolphins have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 54.7 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Jaylen Waddle's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.5% to 63.2%.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

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