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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Jayden Reed's 74.5% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a substantial growth in his passing offense usage over last season's 63.4% mark.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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