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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayden Reed's 75.4% Route Participation% this season represents a significant gain in his air attack usage over last season's 63.4% rate.

In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

Jayden Reed comes in as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 3.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 75th percentile.

Jayden Reed's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 72.1% to 79.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Packers rank as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.7% pass rate.

The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

This year, the tough San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded a feeble 59.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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