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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jayden Reed's 76.5% Route% this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass attack volume over last season's 63.4% figure.
  • When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.
  • Jayden Reed has been one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a stellar 4.1 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 78th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • This year, the strong Bears defense has given up a measly 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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