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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Packers to be the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Eagles defense has been something of pass funnel last year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (37.8 per game) last year.

With a stellar 4.3 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) last year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in the NFL.

Jayden Reed is positioned as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in an excellent 71.1% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 80th percentile among WRs.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Philadelphia's collection of CBs has been awful last year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Green Bay Packers last year (a measly 56.8 per game on average).

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (63.9%) vs. wide receivers last year (63.9%).

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