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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 62.4% pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 133.5 offensive plays run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.

The Detroit Lions defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (39.6 per game) this year.

Jayden Reed's 76.9% Route Participation% this year illustrates a remarkable progression in his passing attack volume over last year's 63.4% mark.

The projections expect Jayden Reed to accumulate 6.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

After averaging 58.0 air yards per game last season, Jayden Reed has posted significant losses this season, currently pacing 39.0 per game.

This year, the stout Lions defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a meager 7.4 yards.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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