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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Tennessee Titans vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers will be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Jayden Reed ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 50.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

Jayden Reed grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a fantastic 71.8% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.

With an outstanding 9.5 adjusted yards per target (78th percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed rates among the top wide receivers in the game in the league.

Jayden Reed has been one of the best WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 5.91 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Packers to pass on 49.3% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Tennessee Titans pass defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a feeble 3.9 YAC.

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