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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 47.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 131.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 5th-best in football this year.
  • Jayden Reed's 75.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this season reflects a noteable progression in his pass-catching talent over last season's 72.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Green Bay Packers.
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 55.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Eagles defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Jayden Reed has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 63.3% of snaps compared to just 53.2% last season.
  • Jayden Reed has accrued far fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (58.0 per game).

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