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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to pass on 59.2% of their chances: the 9th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

Jayden Reed's 74.5% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a substantial growth in his passing offense usage over last season's 63.4% mark.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a hefty 30.07 seconds per play, the Green Bay Packers offense has been the 4th-most sluggish paced in football (adjusted for context) this year.

Jayden Reed has notched far fewer air yards this year (38.0 per game) than he did last year (58.0 per game).

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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