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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jayden Reed's 74.9% Route% this season represents a substantial growth in his pass attack utilization over last season's 63.4% rate.

Our trusted projections expect Jayden Reed to accumulate 6.5 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.

The Green Bay O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jayden Reed rates as one of the leading pass-catching WRs this year, averaging an exceptional 57.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Packers as the 11th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

After accumulating 58.0 air yards per game last year, Jayden Reed has produced significantly less this year, now averaging 39.0 per game.

The Miami Dolphins defense has surrendered the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 126.0) to WRs this year.

This year, the stout Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a mere 8.0 yards.

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