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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.0% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Green Bay Packers.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jayden Reed's 76.5% Route% this season indicates an impressive boost in his pass attack volume over last season's 63.4% figure.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Packers grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Jayden Reed has posted quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (62.0) this year than he did last year (50.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 6-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Jayden Reed has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (45.0 per game) than he did last season (58.0 per game).

This year, the stout Bears defense has yielded a measly 119.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

This year, the strong Bears defense has given up a measly 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's collection of safeties has been great this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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