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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jayden Reed to earn 7.3 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
  • While Jayden Reed has received 16.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's pass game this week at 22.0%.
  • With a stellar 70.6% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.
  • This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a monstrous 188.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

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