Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
Our trusted projections expect Jayden Reed to earn 7.3 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
While Jayden Reed has received 16.8% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Green Bay's pass game this week at 22.0%.
With a stellar 70.6% Adjusted Completion% (77th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.
This year, the weak Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has conceded a monstrous 188.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

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