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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Jayden Reed is projected by the model to slot into the 78th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 6.8 targets.

The New York Giants defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (179.0) versus WRs this year.

The New York Giants pass defense has not been good when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.08 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in football.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, New York's CB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Packers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Green Bay Packers to pass on 57.2% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Green Bay Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 63.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.

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