Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jayden Reed to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 9.94 yards-per-target to the position: the most in the league.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.65 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.

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