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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projections to have 130.8 plays on offense called: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been used less as a potential target this year (91.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (73.9%).

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 9.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 95th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.

This year, the fierce Los Angeles Rams defense has allowed a measly 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 5th-lowest rate in football.

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