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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-188/+142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -188.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 92.2% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy growth in his pass attack utilization over last year's 73.9% figure.

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accumulate 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 6.3 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a significant gain in his receiving talent over last year's 3.8 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

This year, the fierce Chicago Bears defense has yielded a feeble 64.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 10th-smallest rate in football.

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