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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (62.9% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seahawks.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by the model to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.
  • The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack in this week's contest (9.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.7% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.2%) to WRs this year (72.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are a heavy favorite by 8.5 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see just 127.1 offensive plays called: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.

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