Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

NFL · Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a massive -9.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 66.0% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the 9th-fastest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.
The Cowboys pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.9%) to WRs this year (56.9%).
When it comes to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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