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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.4% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.10 seconds per snap.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 92.2% Route Participation Rate this year reflects a noteworthy growth in his pass attack utilization over last year's 73.9% figure.

The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accumulate 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.

After averaging 36.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen marked improvement this season, currently pacing 81.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 4.57 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a substantial decline in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.7% rate.

The Chicago Bears defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) versus WRs this year.

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