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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a -3-point underdog this week.

The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 64.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.91 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (91.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (73.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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