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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Seahawks, who are -6-point underdogs.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 92.6% Route Participation Rate this season shows an impressive progression in his pass attack usage over last season's 73.9% figure.

In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by the projections to finish in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are expected by the projections to call only 63.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Seattle Seahawks profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 4.44 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a noteworthy reduction in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.7% figure.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has yielded the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.4%) to WRs this year (56.4%).

This year, the strong 49ers defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a meager 7.7 yards.

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