Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

NFL · Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a lowly 6.41 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 19th percentile among WRs
With a weak 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (1st percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the best WRs in the league in football in space.
This year, the tough Ravens defense has yielded a puny 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-fewest in the league.
This year, the stout Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 6.3 yards.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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