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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 61.8% of their chances: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accrue 6.0 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 78th percentile among WRs.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football, completing an excellent 71.2% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile among wideouts.

This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up a whopping 68.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 7th-largest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.

The predictive model expects the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Seahawks ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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