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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -151.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

This year, the weak San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed a whopping 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

With a feeble 7.1 adjusted yards per target (21st percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been as one of the worst WRs in the league in the NFL.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is positioned as one of the weakest wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 1st percentile.

The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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