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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With regard to a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.33 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) right now.
  • This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals run defense has surrendered a whopping 132.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-most in football.
  • The Bengals safeties grade out as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.
  • The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 40.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to be a less important option in his offense's ground game this week (23.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.9% in games he has played).
  • Javonte Williams has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

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