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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

The model projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 138.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The Browns defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 4.96 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may drop-off.

Javonte Williams has been much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this year (41.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (53.4%).

Javonte Williams has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (38.0) this season than he did last season (49.0).

With a terrible rate of 3.77 adjusted yards per carry (21st percentile) this year, Javonte Williams rates as one of the worst running backs in football at the position.

Javonte Williams checks in as one of the bottom running backs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 2.47 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 6th percentile.

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