Javonte Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 7:47 PM EST

Analysis

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Javonte Williams is forecasted by the projection model to place in the 79th percentile when it comes to RBs with 13.4 rush attempts.
Javonte Williams has earned 49.6% of his offense's run game usage this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
This year, the daunting Chiefs run defense has allowed a paltry 4.55 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 23rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Chiefs safeties grade out as the 28th-worst safety corps in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Broncos, who are giant -7-point underdogs.
The model projects the Broncos to call the 6th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Broncos this year (just 51.1 per game on average).

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