Javonte Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 12, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's collection of safeties has been very bad this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
The model projects Javonte Williams to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game in this contest (37.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.1% in games he has played).
Javonte Williams has been worse at grinding out extra running yardage this season, compiling 2.34 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.49 rate last season.

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