Javonte Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 52.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Javonte Williams to notch 15.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Javonte Williams has been given 56.5% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Opposing squads have run for the 2nd-most yards in the NFL (155 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams has taken a step back when it comes to picking up extra running yardage this year, compiling 2.36 yards-after-contact compared to a 3.49 rate last year.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's LB corps has been great since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best in football.

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