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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to earn 14.3 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

Javonte Williams has garnered 49.2% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 110 per game) vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season.

The Washington Commanders defensive ends grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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