Javonte Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 41.4% rate of running the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-focused team in the league has been the Broncos.
The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accrue 13.6 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.
Out of all RBs, Javonte Williams grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 55.1% of the workload in his offense's run game.
With a stellar tally of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (82nd percentile), Javonte Williams rates as one of the best pure runners in football this year.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
With a dreadful rate of 3.71 adjusted yards per carry (25th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams rates among the weakest pure rushers in the NFL at the position.

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