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Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Broncos feature a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to run on 46.8% of their downs: the 6th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.This week, Javonte Williams is forecasted by our trusted projection set to land in the 94th percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.8 carries.Among all RBs, Javonte Williams ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 56.3% of the workload in his offense's ground game.Javonte Williams has picked up 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest marks in football among RBs (78th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to have only 126.4 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.The Denver Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 53.2 plays per game.The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.The opposing side have run for the 6th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 95.0 per game) vs. the Browns defense this year.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Cleveland's collection of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 9th-best in the league.
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