Javonte Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 12:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Javonte Williams has garnered 45.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Javonte Williams has grinded out 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (81st percentile).
Javonte Williams's ground effectiveness has been refined this season, totaling 4.94 yards-per-carry vs just 4.17 rate last season.
Javonte Williams has been among the best running backs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.86 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.1% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 57.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos have called the 6th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 61.0 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has produced the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up just 3.96 yards-per-carry.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the 4th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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