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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-182/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -182.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL has been the Broncos.
  • The model projects the Denver Broncos to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Javonte Williams's 44.1% Route% this year reflects a substantial progression in his passing offense usage over last year's 29.4% mark.
  • Our trusted projections expect Javonte Williams to accrue 4.5 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Javonte Williams's 79.4% Adjusted Completion% this season reflects a noteworthy decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 84.7% mark.
  • This year, the imposing Chargers defense has given up a puny 77.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

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