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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Javonte Williams's 43.4% Route Participation% this year conveys a substantial boost in his passing attack utilization over last year's 29.4% rate.
  • This week, Javonte Williams is expected by the projections to position himself in the 78th percentile among RBs with 3.2 targets.
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Broncos grades out as the 2nd-best in football this year.
  • With a fantastic 2.9 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) this year, Javonte Williams ranks among the top pass-catching RBs in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 4.5-point advantage, the Broncos are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Broncos to be the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • Javonte Williams's 80.5% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 84.7% mark.

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