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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-182/+138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +138.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Broncos being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this game.

The Broncos have been the 9th-most pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 131.3 total plays run: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

Javonte Williams has run more routes this year (47.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (29.4%).

The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to earn 4.2 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 89th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to defensive tackles getting after the quarterback, Kansas City's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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