Javonte Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Javonte Williams's 81.9% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a a meaningful progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 77.6% rate.
The Packers linebackers rank as the 6th-worst collection of LBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Denver Broncos have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.7 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.0 per game) this year.
Javonte Williams has been a much smaller part of his offense's pass game this year (9.6% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.8%).

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