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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+128/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Javonte Williams to accumulate 3.1 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Javonte Williams has been among the leading RBs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.4 receptions per game while checking in at the 95th percentile.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has been gouged for the 7th-highest Completion% in football (82.9%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (82.9%).
  • The Chicago Bears linebackers project as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 59.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 28.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
  • Javonte Williams has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (27.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (42.9%).

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