Javonte Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Broncos are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to garner 3.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
Javonte Williams has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.7 receptions per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to call the 5th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Javonte Williams's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 77.6% to 71.3%.
The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 4th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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