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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Houston Texans vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In this contest, Javonte Williams is predicted by the projection model to finish in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.4 targets.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

Javonte Williams profiles as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 2.6 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to skew 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Sean Payton now calling the plays.

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (58.3% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Denver Broncos.

The model projects the Broncos to run the 6th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Denver Broncos have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.2 plays per game.

With a RATE1-RATE2 point decline in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) from last year to this one, Javonte Williams has been featured much less in his offense's passing offense.

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