Javonte Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Javonte Williams

NFL · Player Props

Javonte Williams

RB · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Javonte Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects Javonte Williams to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Javonte Williams has been a key part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 11.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Javonte Williams has been among the top pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.0 receptions per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.
Javonte Williams's receiving reliability have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 83.9% to 87.1%.

Favors Under

The Broncos are an enormous 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.43 seconds per snap.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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