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Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Javonte Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Broncos are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Broncos to be the 10th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With regard to a defense's impact on tempo, at 27.33 seconds per snap, the projections expect the Broncos to be the 4th-quickest in football (adjusted for context) right now.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (35.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Javonte Williams has totaled a paltry -2.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Javonte Williams's 77.4% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 84.7% rate.

Javonte Williams checks in as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging a lowly 4.66 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.

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